Monday, May 11, 2020

Polling shows public opinion on pandemic is settling

Infection concerns decline even though prevalence is up

Fewer Americans express concern that a family member will get sick from the coronavirus even though more report knowing someone who has contracted it compared to one month ago. The Monmouth  University Poll also finds a declining number who say the outbreak has had a major impact on their lives. However, racial minority groups continue to report higher levels of prevalence and concern about Covid. The percentage of Americans reporting a financial impact from the pandemic, such as a job or income loss, has not changed in the past month. The public remains largely hopeful that life will return to normal after the emergency is over, although slightly less hopeful than they were last month.

Slightly more than 4 in 10 Americans (42%) are very concerned about someone in their family becoming seriously ill from the coronavirus. This is down from 50% who felt this level of concern last month and closer to 38% who were very concerned as the outbreak started to spread in late March. Another 28% in the current poll are somewhat concerned, 14% are not too concerned and 16% are not at all concerned.

The public’s lower level of concern comes even though more people report knowing someone who has gotten the virus. That number currently stands at 40%, which is up from 26% last month. Two percent of Americans report they have had the coronavirus themselves (compared to less than 1% in April) and 14% say a family member has contracted it (up from 7%). By race, those who are white (12% now, up from 5% in April) remain less likely than Americans who are black, Latino, Asian or of other races (23% now, up from 12%) to report that they or someone in their family has gotten the coronavirus.

While all demographic groups have shown a decrease in concern levels since last month, this is more pronounced among whites (34% very concerned now, compared with 46% in April and 31% in March) than it is among Latinos or those of other races (55% now, compared with 60% in April and 52% in March). There has also been a larger drop in concern among those aged 55 and older (44% now, compared with 56% in April and 49% in March) and 35 to 54 year olds (42% now, compared with 52% in April and 38% in March) than among those 18 to 34 years old (39% now, compared with 42% in April and 27% in March).

“Concern about Covid seems to have returned to where it was in the early days of the public response to the pandemic in this country,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

About half the public expresses some level of confidence that the country will be able to limit the outbreak’s impact over the next few weeks, including 16% who are very confident and 34% who are somewhat confident. Another 25% are not too confident and 25% are not at all confident that the pandemic will be brought under control soon. Current confidence levels are similar to last month (15% very and 38% somewhat), but lower than they were in March (25% very and 37% somewhat).

Currently, 56% of Americans report that the outbreak has had a major impact on their daily lives, which is down from 62% in April and closer to 53% who reported a major impact in late March. Another 31% say the outbreak has had a minor impact on their daily lives and just 13% say it has had no real impact. The drop in feeling a major impact is due more to a change in opinion among Republicans (43% now, compared with 55% in April and 40% in March) than among independents (61% now, compared with 64% in April and 57% in March) and Democrats (62% now, compared with 66% in April and 61% in March).

“The drop in feeling a major impact may be partly due to the fact that things have stabilized for most families after taking a hit in April,” said Murray.

Currently, 40% of the public reports losing income due to a decrease in work during the pandemic. This is similar to 41% who reported having an income loss in April (up from 35% in March). Just over 1 in 5 (23%) report struggling to pay their bills, which is basically unchanged from 22% who said the same last month (this question was not asked in March). The poll finds that 26% report working from home for the first time because of the public health crisis. This response was 27% in April and 20% in March. Also, 21% say they started getting their groceries delivered, compared with 18% in April and 12% in March.

Three in ten (31%) Americans report that someone in their household has been laid off from work because of the outbreak, which is virtually unchanged from last month (30%). People reporting layoffs in their household include 39% of those earning less than $50,000 a year, 31% of those earning $50,000 to under $100,000, and 24% of those earning $100,000 or more.

While many families have taken an economic hit in the past couple of months, most Americans continue to feel their financial situation is basically stable (63%). Another 23% say they are struggling and 13% say their finances are improving. These results have been steady throughout the pandemic, but represent fewer people who feel they are getting ahead than said the same last year (54% stable, 20% struggling, and 25% improving in April 2019).

“Americans seem to be differentiating between the short term hit and their long term prospects. Most expect that they will be back on their feet once the pandemic has passed, although this number has slipped a bit in the past month,” said Murray.

More than 6 in 10 Americans (63%) feel very hopeful that they and their families will be able to get their lives back to normal after the pandemic. This number stood at 69% last month. Another 28% in the current poll are somewhat hopeful, while very few are not too (5%) or not at all (2%) hopeful.

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from April 30 to May 4, 2020 with 808 adults in the United States.  The question results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

 

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS     

(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)

 

[Q1-3 previously released.]

 

  1. Thinking about your current financial situation, would you say you are struggling to remain where you are financially, basically stable in your current financial situation, or is your financial situation improving?
TREND: May
2020
April
2020
March
2020
April
2019
April
2018
Jan.
2017
Struggling 23% 26% 26% 20% 24% 29%
Stable 63% 62% 61% 54% 51% 51%
Improving 13% 11% 11% 25% 23% 20%
(VOL) Don’t know 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0%
(n) (808) (857) (851) (801) (803) (801)

 

  1. How concerned are you about someone in your family becoming seriously ill from the coronavirus outbreak – very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned?
     TREND: May
2020
April
2020
March
2020
  Very concerned 42% 50% 38%
  Somewhat concerned 28% 33% 32%
  Not too concerned 14% 9% 18%
  Not at all concerned 16% 7% 12%
  (VOL) Don’t know 0% 0% 0%
  (VOL) Has already happened 0% 0% n/a
(n) (808) (857) (851)

 

  1. Do you personally know anyone who has gotten the coronavirus?
May
2020
April
2020
  Yes 40% 26%
  No 60% 74%
  (VOL) Don’t know 0% 0%
(n) (808) (857)

 

6A.    How do you know this person or persons? [LIST WAS NOT READ]

[Note: Results add to more than 100% because multiple responses were accepted]

May
2020
April
2020
  Self 2% <1%
  Family member 14% 7%
  Friend, neighbor, social acquaintance 22% 12%
  Co-worker, from work 7% 5%
  Patient, someone I treated as a health care provider 1% 1%
  Other 0% 1%
  No one (from Q6) 60% 74%
  (VOL) No answer 0% 0%
(n) (808) (857)

 

  1. How confident are you that the country will be able to limit the impact of the outbreak over the next few weeks – very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?
     TREND: May
2020
April
2020
March
2020
  Very confident 16% 15% 25%
  Somewhat confident 34% 38% 37%
  Not too confident 25% 24% 21%
  Not at all confident 25% 21% 15%
  (VOL) Don’t know 1% 2% 2%
(n) (808) (857) (851)

 

[Q8-17 previously released.]

 

  1. Thinking about you personally, has the coronavirus outbreak had a major impact, minor impact, or no real impact on your own daily life?
     TREND: May
2020
April
2020
March
2020
  Major impact 56% 62% 53%
  Minor impact 31% 27% 32%
  No impact 13% 10% 15%
  (VOL) Don’t know 0% 1% 0%
(n) (808) (857) (851)

 

  1. Have you personally done any of the following or had any of the following happen because of the coronavirus outbreak? [ITEMS WERE ROTATED]
 

TREND:

 Yes, have done/has happened No, have not done/has not happened (VOL) Don’t know (n)
Started to work from home for the first time 26% 74% 0% (808)
   — April 2020 27% 72% 0% (857)
   — March 2020 20% 79% 1% (851)
Lost income due to a decrease in work hours or less business 40% 60% 0% (808)
   — April 2020 41% 59% 1% (857)
   — March 2020 35% 64% 1% (851)
Started getting your groceries delivered 21% 79% 0% (808)
   — April 2020 18% 82% 0% (857)
   — March 2020 12% 87% 1% (851)
Struggled to pay your bills 23% 77% 0% (808)
   — April 2020 22% 78% 0% (857)
   — March 2020 n/a n/a n/a n/a
       

 

  1. Have you or someone in your household been laid off from work because of the outbreak?  [If YES: Is this you or someone else?]
       TREND: May
2020
April
2020
  Yes, self 9% 9%
  Yes, other person 17% 18%
  Yes, self and other 5% 3%
  No, no one 68% 69%
  (VOL) Don’t know 0% 0%
(n) (808) (857)

 

  1. And are you very hopeful, somewhat hopeful, not too hopeful, or not at all hopeful that you and your family will be able to get your lives back to normal after the outbreak is over?
       TREND: May
2020
April
2020
  Very hopeful 63% 69%
  Somewhat hopeful 28% 26%
  Not too hopeful 5% 3%
  Not at all hopeful 2% 1%
  (VOL) Don’t know 1% 1%
(n) (808) (857)

 

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
Self-Reported
28% Republican
38% Independent
34% Democrat
 
49% Male
51% Female
 
29% 18-34
33% 35-54
37% 55+
 
63% White
12% Black
17% Hispanic
  8% Asian/Other
 
69% No degree
31% 4 year degree
 

 

MARGIN OF ERROR
unweighted  sample moe
(+/-)
TOTAL   808 3.5%
REGISTERED VOTER Yes 739 3.6%
No 69 11.8%
SELF-REPORTED PARTY ID Republican 223 6.6%
Independent 291 5.8%
Democrat 282 5.8%
IDEOLOGY Liberal 198 7.0%
Moderate 323 5.5%
Conservative 268 6.0%
GENDER Male 395 4.9%
Female 413 4.8%
AGE 18-34 167 7.6%
35-54 331 5.4%
55+ 306 5.6%
CHILDREN IN HOME Yes 235 6.4%
No 564 4.1%
RACE White, non-Hispanic 530 4.3%
Other 256 6.1%
COLLEGE GRADUATE No degree 387 5.0%
4 year degree 417 4.8%
WHITE COLLEGE White, no degree 240 6.3%
White, 4 year degree 288 5.8%
INCOME <$50K 235 6.4%
$50 to <100K 254 6.2%
$100K+ 264 6.0%

 

No comments:

Post a Comment